【中国禁闻】日媒剖析京沪高铁真相

【中国禁闻】日媒剖析京沪高铁真相

【新唐人2011年7月7日讯】京沪高铁赶在七一前夕开始开通运营，中共媒体称赞声一
片，但是民间却相反的出现了许多质疑的声音。在拥有先进新干线技术的日本，媒体也
关注着中国高铁的真实情况。

6月30号，京沪高铁正式开通。7月1号，铁路开始实施新的运行图。日本《钻石在线》
（DiamondOnline）发表《中国共产党建立90周年之日开通京沪高铁的真相》，报导指
出，原来预定在2012年春开始运行的高铁，突然赶在7月1号前夕开通，就是因为今年七
一是中共建党90周年。

报导说，为了迎合七一造势，中共媒体对高铁给予了最大限度的赞美。不过民间的反应
并不与它同步，相反，质疑的声音不断。有人担心，引进的技术购买合同上注明的最高
安全限速是300公里，硬让高铁跑时速380公里，安全不安全？也有人质疑，京沪高铁完
全没有考虑利益回收，会不会又是一个三峡工程？

铁道部原副总工程师、高速办副主任周翊民，他在稍早前接受媒体采访时表示，在落马
的原铁道部部长刘志军时代建设的高铁项目，存在很大安全隐患。一是「时速350公里
」列车，是吃掉安全系数才实现的；二是高铁运营的过程中，有过若干次秘而不报的事
故，虽然没有造成生命危险，但都不是小事；三是，高铁线路在不同地区出现沈降，最
多达40厘米。

但是，为了拼上世界第一的时速，中国大陆的高铁工程勉强而为，因此发生了一系列的
事故。

据了解，2009年3月27号，一辆行驶在胶济客运专线上的CRH2动车组突然失去动力停
车，后来发现，6号车车顶的受电弓已经丢失，事故当时的时速接近胶济客运专线设计
的最高时速250公里。而2009年12月26号开通的时速350公里的武广高铁，在开通40天
内，连续制造出五起骇人事故。被『广州日报'、『河南商报'等广泛报导。

评论家盛超撰文说，作为消费者，我们更关心的是列车是否安全，而不是坐在世界上最
快的列车中。

此后，中国铁道部把车速降到300公里，但仍然表示，降速是处于运营成本的考虑，而
不是安全问题。

中共在京沪高铁上花钱如流水，铁道部在开通当天宣称，京沪高铁总投资达2209亿元。
这个数字是1994年决定建设时预算的2.3倍，超过三峡水坝的1800亿元，京沪高铁由此
成为中国耗资最大的工程项目。《钻石在线》引用『中国新闻周刊'记者周政华的话
说，「铁道部是4兆元经济刺激政策最大的受惠者。恐怕有1兆元的资金投资给了高铁。
」

但这笔巨额投资目前完全不知道何时才能回收。《钻石在线》的文章说，京沪高铁单程
的票价高达1750元，相当于年轻劳动者一月工资，虽然有相对低价一点的410元的
票，但对一般老百姓来说也不便宜。坐武广高铁回家探亲一次，两个月的工资就飞了。

《钻石在线》还引用北京交通大学经济学教授赵坚的研究说，2006年，中国铁路旅客只
有1%乘软卧出行，现行高铁票价相当于软卧价格。铁道部构想用这样的高价「让高铁分
流既有线路客流」，相当不现实。

根据「联合资信评价公司」的评估，中国铁道部从08年开始兴建高铁就出现了129.5亿
元巨额的赤字。上海「清算所」网站公布今年第一季度的财务和经营数据，铁道部的负
债率继续攀升，达到了58.24%。第一季度的利润总额是负-37.6亿元，实收资本比去年
第三季度减少2127亿元。

投资越来越庞大，赤字越来越巨额，和这些相反的是，日本企业在这些项目中的出现却
越来越少。

《钻石在线》说，日本拥有的先进新干线技术，这次也应用在京沪高铁项目中，不过台
面上几乎没有被提及。因此，现在的民主党政府虽然有打算把环境，节能，新能源技术
作为对中国的新商业支柱，就算姑且不看三峡工程和京沪高铁在中国国内的口碑，也应
该「重新考虑」实际上能做到哪一步。

新唐人记者尚燕、吴慧真综合报导。

Japanese Media on China'a High Speed Rail

Beijing-Shanghai high-speed rail started operationjust before July 1,
getting high praises from Chinese media,but many questions were raised by
ordinary people.In Japan, a country with advanced technology in high-speed
rail,the media are also watching the real developmentin China's high-speed
railway.

On June 30, the Beijing-Shanghai high-speed rail openedofficially. Japan's
Diamond Online published a report:"The Truth of opening the
Beijing-Shanghai High-Speed Railon the 90th anniversary of the Chinese
Communist Party (CCP)."The report said that the high-speed rail was
originally scheduledto run in the spring of 2012.The sudden rush to begin
its operation on the eve of July 1was this year's 90th anniversary of CCP.

The report said that to meet the CCP's July 1st campaign,the CCP media has
extolled the high-speed rail lavishly.However, civilians do not echo it but
rather on the contrary,queries and questions never seem to end.People worry
that the technology-purchase agreementclearly specifies the maximum speed
limit to be 300 km/h,Is it safe to run at a speed of 380 km/h?Also, the
project has not considered the investment returns.Will this become another
Three Gorges Project?

Former deputy chief engineer of Ministry of Rail, Zhou Yimin,said in an
interview, that at the time of former Rail Minister,Liu Zhijun, the
high-speed rail had serious safety issues.Firstly, the speed of 350 km/h
was made possibleby lowering the safety requirements.Secondly, there have
been several unreported accidents.Life was taken in them, therefore they
were not trivial.Thirdly, in some regions there has been a subsidenceof
high-speed rail lines, the largest being over 40cm.

However, in order to compete for the world's highest speed,high-speed rail
projects in China are carried out withoutsolid tech support, so a series of
accidents have occurred.

On March 27, 2009, a passenger train, CRH2, running onJinan-Qingdao line
suddenly lost power and stopped.Later it was found that the roof pantograph
had been lost.At the time of the accident, the train was running closeto
the maximum speed of 250 km/h for the Jiaoji line.Wuhan-Guangzhou
high-speed rail with a speed of 350 km/hbegan operation on Dec. 26, 2009.
Within 40 days,five serious accidents occured. They were widely reported.

Commentator Sheng Chao wrote that as consumers,we are more concerned about
the safety of our trains,rather than to sit in the world's fastest trains.

Since then, the Chinese Ministry of Railways has reducedthe speed limit to
300 km/h, but still said the reductionis due to cost consideration, rather
than safety issues.

The CCP poured money into Beijing-Shanghai high-speed rail.The Ministry of
Railways announced on the opening day,the total investment was RMB220.9
billion. whichwas 2.3 times of the original budget in 1994,and more than
Three Gorges Dam's cost of RMB180 billion.It thus has become China's most
expensive construction project.Diamond Online quoted China Newsweek
correspondentZhou Cheng-hua, "Ministry of Railways is the biggest
beneficiaryof the RMB 4 trillion economic stimulus package.Maybe RMB1
trillion was invested in the high-speed rail."

But it is unknown when this investment's returns will begin.Diamond Online
said, the highest fare for Beijing-Shanghaihigh-speed rail is RMB1750, a
month worth of a labor's wages.Even the lower price of RMB410 is not cheap
for most people.Taking Wuhan-Guangzhou high-speed rail to visit home,will
cost two months' worth of wages.

Diamond Online also cited Beijing Jiaotong Universityprofessor of
economics, Zhao Jian, that in 2006,only 1% of Chinese railway passengers
took soft berths.Now high-speed rail fare is equivalent to that of a soft
berth.With such a high price, the Ministry of Railways wants"to divert the
existing passengers to high-speed rail line,"which is rather unrealistic.

According to China Lianhe Credit Rating Co. assessment,Chinese Ministry of
Railways had RMB12.95 billion deficitin 2008 when it began the high-speed
rail construction.Shanghai "Clearing House" website published Q1
financialand operating data. The Ministry of Railways' debt ratiois still
rising, reaching 58.24%.Its Q1 gross profit was negative RMB3.76
billion,and paid-up capital was RMB212.7 billion less than Q3 of 2010.

Investments get larger and deficits are hiking even more.In contrast,
Japanese companies' deficits become lower.

Diamond said Japan's advanced Shinkansen technologyhas also been used in
the Beijing-Shanghai high-speed rail,but this was barely mentioned.Thus,
when the current democratic administration intendsto use environment,
energy conservation, and new energytechnologies as pillars for its new
business with China,Japan should consider what can actually happen,in the
light of these projects' reputation in China.

NTD reporters Shang Yan and Wu Huizhen 2011-07-07
10:15:31http://www.ntdtv.com/xtr/gb/2011/07/07/a556436.html.-【中国禁闻】日
媒剖析京沪高铁真相.html